The final estimates of the surveys conducted by Times of India gives the Congress 154 seats while the BJP is projected to get 142 seats. With Congress’s allies winning another 44 seats, the UPA is expected to get 198 seats and may get the chance to have the first chance to form the next government.
The BJP’s allies are likely to win 41 seats, taking the NDA’s tally to 183, 15 short of the UPA’s. The Left, which had won 61 seats in 2004, is projected to finish with 38 in this poll.
The game of horse trading after the results are declared on May 16 would revolve around the 124 others, which includes the BSP (27) and SP (23). Some of them, like the AIADMK, TDP, PMK, MDMK, JD(S) and TRS, had come together with the Left to form the Third Front, but its survival as a coalition is unpredictable.